Fifa International · resolved market
Will Liberia win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc007e05bed13fccc55c9180e77a91e8296f1dd83cf0aaf089dbf36a4cd3e4c39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,018$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 3c | 2,002$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,221$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.47 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 20c | 838.68$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 707.14$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.46 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 79c | 559.66$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.68 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…4190backed Yes | 18c | 528.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46b…aaa0backed Yes | 22c | 494.48$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 22c | 447.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…8534backed Yes | 23c | 413.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 396.64$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…332bbacked Yes | 5c | 301.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 5c | 259.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 15c | 253.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 244.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 24c | 219.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 214.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Yes | 10c | 199.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 193.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 78c | 191.1$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 176.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 21c | 155.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked No | 63c | 145.15$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 25c | 141.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 37c | 134$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 79c | 104.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…2ed6backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 23c | 95.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 16c | 92.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 21c | 89.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 88.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 19c | 81.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce4…875bbacked Yes | 26c | 76.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 78c | 63.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 75c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ff…d69fbacked Yes | 24c | 57.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…7ec3backed Yes | 26c | 57.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 78c | 55.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 75c | 35.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 77c | 30.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 76c | 29.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 70c | 20.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed No | 76c | 17.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liberia win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Liberia vs. Libya end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Libya win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.