Fifa International · resolved market
Will Liberia vs. Libya end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2d61e94ba7fdbc66dd6c9668a6b4b38cc9e3c5e9ebf1e30a131b78acb56ce24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 67c | 1,388$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,077$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.12 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 9c | 1,071$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 29c | 986.44$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.19 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 34c | 980.17$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.91 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 66c | 890.75$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.9 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 35c | 880.06$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.55 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 33c | 879.5$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.25 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 55c | 663.8$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.15 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 35c | 553.95$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.65 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 3c | 544.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 475.3$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.86 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 34c | 432.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 56c | 321.02$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 59c | 291.55$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.03 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 35c | 276.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.58 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…6d04backed Yes | 79c | 258.15$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Yes | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Yes | 80c | 218.88$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 75c | 201.05$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 161.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 152.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 35c | 144.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 138.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 43c | 136.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 72c | 106.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 70c | 95.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 66c | 93.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 92.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 87.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 71c | 86.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 27c | 83.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 73c | 83.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Yes | 16c | 82.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 70c | 69.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 23c | 68.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 26c | 67.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…0409backed No | 19c | 63.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 24c | 60.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 67c | 59.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 62c | 56.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 25c | 56.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 33c | 49.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 30c | 46.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 44.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 60c | 42.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…439fbacked Yes | 25c | 40.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked No | 72c | 36.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 66c | 36.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 66c | 29.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes | 80c | 26.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 23.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 72c | 20.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Yes | 80c | 17.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 66c | 16.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liberia vs. Libya end in a draw?this page
- Will Liberia win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Libya win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.