TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Libya win on 2026-03-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,086 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes44c7,873$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,464.617924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes29c5,825$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.3829343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No13c5,221$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,561.235942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No16c4,200$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,530.3323738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c4,089$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.2876048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No12c3,368$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,965.5312036.7%44 W · 76 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c2,766$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.221,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No23c1,449$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.8374034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes45c1,399$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.42748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No29c1,208$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.042,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c1,045$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.143,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes41c894.07$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.5718465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No57c757.95$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.8241451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No56c713.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.0129646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0524…9dcebacked Yes39c699.27$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+43.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes45c638.94$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2222448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No57c563.69$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.652,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked No56c438.41$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.637266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No56c411.39$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.012,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No55c399.43$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4724653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No58c389.59$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3723749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked No60c365.32$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3910958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c349.62$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.831,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes42c288.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.565832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes46c275.41$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8416341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59c8…d2c8backed No9c269.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.031758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No54c239.93$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.971361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes46c224.21$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.141,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No36c220.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2245039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes44c220.06$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.632536%9 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes44c217.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.65352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c214.52$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.211,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Yes46c211.79$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7412254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes9c211.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.917954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed No58c199.82$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.922454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes34c195.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.862,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xab70…4acebacked Yes44c191.08$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.081353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No56c189$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.091,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No48c175.87$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.456549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No56c172.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2511060%66 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked No57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4911631.9%37 W · 79 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No56c165.24$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.713,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No61c161.05$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.414663%29 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No57c160.34$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4317158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes45c150.42$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.694337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c145.1$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8455045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No56c135.68$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3928545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9c…acfbbacked Yes44c130.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b61…4adebacked Yes43c109.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes73c101.87$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.373,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes44c100.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.216238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4446525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439843.9%43 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked No19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No12c94.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.354250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No56c88.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1511658.6%68 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No60c87.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.42763%17 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…bc74backed Yes46c83.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.72933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes42c82.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.574847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No48c81.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.463661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No52c73.81$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.527745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No57c73.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.478659.3%51 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc74b…9089backed Yes73c67.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa360…cc8ebacked Yes44c65.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.992245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec9…02f6backed No56c62.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.541758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e01…271fbacked Yes46c60.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.290840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Yes42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.24946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee92…7ec3backed Yes42c57.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No56c57.05$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.111951.3%61 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No59c54.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9910863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8511545.2%52 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed No56c51.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5215448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Yes43c45.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7118247.8%87 W · 95 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e31…93a3backed Yes45c43.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a3…00afbacked Yes45c42.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.342835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No55c42.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.214360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes27c41.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0721858.7%128 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No25c41.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0516116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Yes46c40.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.64623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes43c37.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2443145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes60c37.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1445947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f9…eb5fbacked Yes53c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.74151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d22…5267backed Yes45c35.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.761442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No47c34.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.551250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No58c34.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6410954.1%59 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No56c34.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1540736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba4a…b5f2backed Yes44c33.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.783050%15 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b25…439fbacked Yes50c32.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed No57c30.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.136350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No55c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.55364.2%34 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d5…e458backed Yes44c29.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.13850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No57c29.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.893253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No63c26.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9563745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9631…a38cbacked Yes48c26.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd855…7b55backed Yes44c25.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3713…1b94backed No56c24.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed No56c24.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6117553.7%94 W · 81 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes45c24.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8812454.8%68 W · 56 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.