Fifa International · resolved market
Will Libya win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x778800b01d9331fee535c5c57667c87b988fbc2809e07b92ed966610040f1cd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 44c | 7,873$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.61 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 29c | 5,825$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.38 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 13c | 5,221$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,561.2 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 16c | 4,200$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530.33 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 4,089$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.28 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 12c | 3,368$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.53 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 2,766$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.22 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 1,449$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.83 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 45c | 1,399$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 29c | 1,208$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.04 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 1,045$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.14 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 41c | 894.07$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.57 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 57c | 757.95$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.82 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 56c | 713.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.01 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…9dcebacked Yes | 39c | 699.27$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 45c | 638.94$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.22 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 563.69$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.65 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked No | 56c | 438.41$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.63 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 411.39$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.01 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 55c | 399.43$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 58c | 389.59$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.37 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 60c | 365.32$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.39 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 349.62$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 42c | 288.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.56 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 46c | 275.41$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…d2c8backed No | 9c | 269.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.03 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 54c | 239.93$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 46c | 224.21$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 220.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 44c | 220.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 44c | 217.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 214.52$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.21 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Yes | 46c | 211.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 9c | 211.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed No | 58c | 199.82$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 34c | 195.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…4acebacked Yes | 44c | 191.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 189$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 48c | 175.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 56c | 172.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked No | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 165.24$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 61c | 161.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 57c | 160.34$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 45c | 150.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 145.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 56c | 135.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…acfbbacked Yes | 44c | 130.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b61…4adebacked Yes | 43c | 109.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 73c | 101.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 44c | 100.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed No | 12c | 94.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 56c | 88.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 60c | 87.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bc74backed Yes | 46c | 83.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 42c | 82.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 48c | 81.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 52c | 73.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 57c | 73.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…9089backed Yes | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa360…cc8ebacked Yes | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…02f6backed No | 56c | 62.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…271fbacked Yes | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…7ec3backed Yes | 42c | 57.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 56c | 57.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 59c | 54.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed No | 56c | 51.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…3c33backed Yes | 43c | 45.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…93a3backed Yes | 45c | 43.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…00afbacked Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 55c | 42.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 27c | 41.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 41.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 46c | 40.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 43c | 37.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 60c | 37.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…eb5fbacked Yes | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…5267backed Yes | 45c | 35.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 47c | 34.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 58c | 34.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 56c | 34.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…b5f2backed Yes | 44c | 33.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…439fbacked Yes | 50c | 32.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed No | 57c | 30.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…e458backed Yes | 44c | 29.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 57c | 29.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 63c | 26.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 48c | 26.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd855…7b55backed Yes | 44c | 25.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…1b94backed No | 56c | 24.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed No | 56c | 24.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 45c | 24.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Libya win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Liberia vs. Libya end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Liberia win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.