Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Maxwell Mckennon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0226ba6f4504ea3cc5171fa8d39aeb41642d2bbd71d1a974c1ed12b72270588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivan Marrero Curbeloof Ivan Marrero Curbelo, Maxwell Mckennon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 58c | 518.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.06 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…07adbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 57c | 499.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Maxwell Mckennon | 30c | 488.38$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.56 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Maxwell Mckennon | 31c | 392.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85e…5cd5backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maxwell Mckennon | 44c | 260.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 65c | 202.84$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Maxwell Mckennon | 52c | 196$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 46c | 166.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maxwell Mckennon | 35c | 158.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…93c7backed Maxwell Mckennon | 49c | 141.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…7395backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 49c | 102.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Maxwell Mckennon | 36c | 91.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed Maxwell Mckennon | 52c | 84.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 65c | 82.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Maxwell Mckennon | 41c | 73.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Maxwell Mckennon | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Maxwell Mckennon | 50c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Maxwell Mckennon | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Maxwell Mckennon | 64c | 41.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 51c | 40.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Maxwell Mckennon | 59c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 63c | 36.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 65c | 34.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Maxwell Mckennon | 51c | 32.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Maxwell Mckennon | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 47c | 21.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.