CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc036a834f96168c269c587dce886b9d129346e08fe654bb5d8a357ef07e4f0f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rare Atomof Rare Atom, Vitalem Aerem
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Vitalem Aerem | 20c | 1,714$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.28 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…acabbacked Vitalem Aerem | 18c | 1,708$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.91 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rare Atom | 80c | 1,053$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.57 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Vitalem Aerem | 31c | 741.89$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.37 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Vitalem Aerem | 4c | 588.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Vitalem Aerem | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…9a58backed Rare Atom | 76c | 469.98$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.23 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vitalem Aerem | 18c | 434.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Rare Atom | 78c | 291.83$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Vitalem Aerem | 16c | 239.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Vitalem Aerem | 10c | 197.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Vitalem Aerem | 11c | 188.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Vitalem Aerem | 11c | 187.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Vitalem Aerem | 7c | 162.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b28…bf9fbacked Vitalem Aerem | 12c | 159.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Rare Atom | 64c | 155.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Rare Atom | 68c | 87.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Vitalem Aerem | 21c | 78.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Vitalem Aerem | 17c | 62.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Vitalem Aerem | 22c | 59.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed Vitalem Aerem | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Rare Atom | 70c | 50.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…a2cdbacked Vitalem Aerem | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b7…602bbacked Vitalem Aerem | 29c | 49.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Rare Atom | 68c | 48.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Rare Atom | 67c | 38.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Vitalem Aerem | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed Rare Atom | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.