Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Tianhui Zhang vs Shintaro Imai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc03b41be408ee642e18e2f731583e9507fdf9f6d9f844e7d05fce5161129e2b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shintaro Imaiof Tianhui Zhang, Shintaro Imai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Shintaro Imai | 68c | 782.92$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.92 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Tianhui Zhang | 39c | 759.97$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.39 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Tianhui Zhang | 10c | 571.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Tianhui Zhang | 20c | 530$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Tianhui Zhang | 41c | 514.61$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.02 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Tianhui Zhang | 31c | 319.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…571ebacked Tianhui Zhang | 29c | 182.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tianhui Zhang | 17c | 173.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Shintaro Imai | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tianhui Zhang | 10c | 133.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Shintaro Imai | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Shintaro Imai | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Shintaro Imai | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Shintaro Imai | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Shintaro Imai | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shintaro Imai | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Tianhui Zhang | 30c | 38.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Shintaro Imai | 61c | 36.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Shintaro Imai | 71c | 33.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Shintaro Imai | 71c | 27.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shintaro Imai | 62c | 20.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shintaro Imai | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Shintaro Imai | 70c | 19.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4567…0fd6backed Shintaro Imai | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shintaro Imai | 66c | 16.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Shintaro Imai | 79c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.