Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Little Rock Trojans vs. Morehead State Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc066f88d69d2bf0ecac24b2e4fbe9161e1dee86971598d821473667743fd2236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morehead State Eaglesof Little Rock Trojans, Morehead State Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Little Rock Trojans | 22c | 12,500$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Little Rock Trojans | 13c | 3,371$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.71 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Morehead State Eagles | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Morehead State Eagles | 76c | 2,215$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.6 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Little Rock Trojans | 9c | 1,718$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Morehead State Eagles | 73c | 1,524$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.98 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Morehead State Eagles | 60c | 954.91$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.29 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Morehead State Eagles | 60c | 733.33$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.33 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Little Rock Trojans | 41c | 669.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Morehead State Eagles | 59c | 509$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Little Rock Trojans | 40c | 399.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Morehead State Eagles | 61c | 359.34$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Morehead State Eagles | 60c | 316.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Morehead State Eagles | 60c | 271.02$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Morehead State Eagles | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Morehead State Eagles | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Little Rock Trojans | 30c | 213$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…31b9backed Morehead State Eagles | 60c | 201.11$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Little Rock Trojans | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Little Rock Trojans | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Little Rock Trojans | 37c | 179$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Morehead State Eagles | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Little Rock Trojans | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Morehead State Eagles | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Morehead State Eagles | 77c | 122.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Morehead State Eagles | 69c | 85.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Little Rock Trojans | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Little Rock Trojans | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Little Rock Trojans | 32c | 51.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Morehead State Eagles | 74c | 42.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Morehead State Eagles | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…7212backed Little Rock Trojans | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Morehead State Eagles | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Morehead State Eagles | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Little Rock Trojans | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Morehead State Eagles | 60c | 26.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Morehead State Eagles | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Morehead State Eagles | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Morehead State Eagles | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Morehead State Eagles | 52c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…aa68backed Morehead State Eagles | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Morehead State Eagles | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.