Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs AVULUS (BO3) - CCT Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc07393bcfe20ef6feb0595a1277985d7e8066bf56f0aca56128d48f889b3ed28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Gamingof paiN Gaming, AVULUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,307 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked paiN Gaming | 63c | 8,422$5,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.09 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked AVULUS | 37c | 3,471$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.5 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed AVULUS | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…68b0backed AVULUS | 37c | 1,223$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked AVULUS | 38c | 1,215$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.92 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Gaming | 68c | 1,176$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN Gaming | 63c | 1,023$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.84 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…fc0abacked AVULUS | 37c | 986.05$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed AVULUS | 37c | 979.34$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.9 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46aa…d886backed AVULUS | 37c | 827.22$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked AVULUS | 38c | 665.79$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked AVULUS | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed AVULUS | 37c | 573.87$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.11 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed AVULUS | 37c | 567.32$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.62 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked AVULUS | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 478.59$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.04 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked AVULUS | 38c | 475.04$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed AVULUS | 37c | 460$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 454.48$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.61 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 436.91$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 435$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AVULUS | 24c | 434.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed AVULUS | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed paiN Gaming | 66c | 371.38$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed6f…2378backed AVULUS | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…2317backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed paiN Gaming | 60c | 298$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked paiN Gaming | 61c | 293.28$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked paiN Gaming | 61c | 278.36$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 272.25$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed paiN Gaming | 61c | 269.67$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked AVULUS | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed AVULUS | 32c | 253.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AVULUS | 32c | 244.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked AVULUS | 36c | 240.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed AVULUS | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…a9cabacked AVULUS | 37c | 204.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed AVULUS | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked AVULUS | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5f5abacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed AVULUS | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed AVULUS | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a0a4backed paiN Gaming | 62c | 199.84$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed AVULUS | 37c | 199.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked AVULUS | 37c | 175.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked AVULUS | 37c | 162.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed paiN Gaming | 75c | 155.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked paiN Gaming | 60c | 150.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfca…bcdabacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked paiN Gaming | 72c | 138.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 133.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed AVULUS | 35c | 117$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed AVULUS | 33c | 116.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked AVULUS | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed paiN Gaming | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked AVULUS | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked paiN Gaming | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed AVULUS | 38c | 97.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed paiN Gaming | 77c | 97.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 88.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed AVULUS | 12c | 88.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -9.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked AVULUS | 26c | 87.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked paiN Gaming | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked AVULUS | 34c | 80.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked AVULUS | 37c | 79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked paiN Gaming | 65c | 74.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 73.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AVULUS | 33c | 67.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed AVULUS | 38c | 67.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…3e92backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 60.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked AVULUS | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked AVULUS | 37c | 59.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed AVULUS | 35c | 57.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…20cabacked AVULUS | 40c | 52.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked AVULUS | 38c | 51.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…9cb2backed AVULUS | 38c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked AVULUS | 37c | 48.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 41.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed paiN Gaming | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed AVULUS | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed AVULUS | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked paiN Gaming | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked AVULUS | 37c | 32.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed AVULUS | 37c | 27.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…5414backed paiN Gaming | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed paiN Gaming | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4717…bddebacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…31f9backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 18.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d9…0ca5backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…0b6abacked paiN Gaming | 62c | 17.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs AVULUS (BO3) - CCT Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs AVULUS - Game 1 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs AVULUS - Game 2 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.