Lol · resolved market
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc08a17cd521e3b524ea8a365659982f5161557e58ffaf0c425a728a3e50704af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatan Esportsof paiN Gaming, Leviatan Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed paiN Gaming | 10c | 1,548$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.21 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked paiN Gaming | 56c | 938.55$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Leviatan Esports | 73c | 926.79$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.69 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Leviatan Esports | 36c | 825.54$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.26 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed paiN Gaming | 30c | 664.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…b2b5backed Leviatan Esports | 62c | 613$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked paiN Gaming | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed paiN Gaming | 12c | 251.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1,060 | 28.5%302 W · 758 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Leviatan Esports | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Leviatan Esports | 61c | 178.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked paiN Gaming | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Leviatan Esports | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4c26backed Leviatan Esports | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…612dbacked Leviatan Esports | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Leviatan Esports | 60c | 35.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Leviatan Esports | 78c | 35.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,013 | 49.1%497 W · 516 L | +29.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…591fbacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)Leviatan Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Play-InLeviatan Esports won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 WinnerLeviatan Esports won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports - Game 3 WinnerLeviatan Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.