NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0cbe71e46f1834c74dde05fe3dbec1875940e1ff3558f5b5dbacd3ae4f3285c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Kings, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf42…c3b4backed Blues | 51c | 5,491$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 42c | 4,160$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.41 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Kings | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Kings | 42c | 2,304$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.27 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Blues | 51c | 1,800$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Kings | 48c | 1,782$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.31 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blues | 51c | 1,612$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 67c | 1,100$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blues | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Blues | 51c | 876.56$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.51 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Blues | 51c | 735$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.15 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Kings | 33c | 602.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 50c | 521.11$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.56 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blues | 53c | 404.43$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Kings | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blues | 51c | 373.67$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.1 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 47c | 369.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.89 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…9b05backed Kings | 52c | 366.96$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Blues | 51c | 349.02$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.02 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 14c | 334.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Kings | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…e256backed Blues | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8506…12f7backed Kings | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blues | 51c | 236.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Kings | 49c | 199.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Kings | 7c | 195.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kings | 53c | 156$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…a1d1backed Blues | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Blues | 52c | 144$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Blues | 50c | 121.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 49c | 115.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings | 49c | 103.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…3404backed Blues | 53c | 102.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…e6a5backed Kings | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 47c | 101.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8559…570dbacked Kings | 49c | 101.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Blues | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbc…0f97backed Kings | 48c | 96.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…5d6abacked Blues | 53c | 96.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…2531backed Blues | 53c | 95.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…55d1backed Kings | 48c | 94.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…ecc2backed Blues | 52c | 90.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…dfa1backed Kings | 48c | 89.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe95d…d81bbacked Kings | 48c | 88.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8d…b437backed Blues | 53c | 82.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…66babacked Blues | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Blues | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65e…814ebacked Kings | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Kings | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 17c | 72.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…d1bbbacked Kings | 50c | 67.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde71…070ebacked Blues | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecf…7b06backed Kings | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Kings | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Kings | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1789…74afbacked Kings | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…8529backed Blues | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blues | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…d802backed Blues | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…7247backed Kings | 51c | 52.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Kings | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…faecbacked Blues | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…f342backed Kings | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a8…04e0backed Blues | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd0…6995backed Kings | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…d4d2backed Blues | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd183…b9c8backed Blues | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Blues | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b1…9e28backed Blues | 49c | 35.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…1e0abacked Blues | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22d…1e04backed Kings | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…2901backed Kings | 52c | 28.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a0…42bcbacked Kings | 51c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb57…0c84backed Blues | 49c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 50cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2bed…3b01backed Kings | 51c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.