Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc156f108e39f48b3bbb7fb4f6d0ad61fa3e8e2feefda0a7f05e3bc06b526661e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 23c | 22,951$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,361.51 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 4,157$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…ae44backed No | 17c | 3,447$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 44c | 1,090$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.4 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 6c | 823.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 24c | 806$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.84 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 43c | 593$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.01 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 35c | 514.54$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.27 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 77c | 496.79$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 470.38$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.62 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 25c | 462.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 57c | 341.83$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Yes | 79c | 310$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 44c | 298.93$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 18c | 281.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 18c | 279.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 17c | 279.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 43c | 271.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.49 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 56c | 238.57$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed No | 24c | 223.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 21c | 216.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 56c | 163.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 63c | 157.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 56c | 148.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 56c | 120.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 21c | 120.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 116.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 66c | 110.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 20c | 105.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 53c | 100.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 43c | 100.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 30c | 99.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…4a79backed No | 57c | 98.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 44c | 91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed No | 22c | 87.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 44c | 68.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 69c | 63.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 47c | 62.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 20c | 55.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 70c | 50.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 57c | 46.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…78d4backed Yes | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 55c | 36.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes | 64c | 31.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…246abacked Yes | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 60c | 26.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 57c | 23.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Yes | 70c | 21.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Nacional win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will CD Nacional vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.