Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Aren Baybars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc157b074f2c66e6cdec67e8d8ada52e531a14006c251ea4b951a48971116434c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pedro Vives Marcosof Pedro Vives Marcos, Aren Baybars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aren Baybars | 32c | 7,652$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.33 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 65c | 6,181$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.55 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 78c | 965.23$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.26 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Aren Baybars | 25c | 692.35$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.61 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aren Baybars | 27c | 473.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aren Baybars | 34c | 296$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 77c | 190.59$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Aren Baybars | 26c | 174.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Aren Baybars | 33c | 146$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 76c | 127$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Aren Baybars | 31c | 122.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…bb9ebacked Aren Baybars | 41c | 114.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Aren Baybars | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Aren Baybars | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Aren Baybars | 28c | 81.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 73c | 58.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Aren Baybars | 44c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aren Baybars | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 77c | 44.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 75c | 32.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 79c | 14.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.