Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1f7ba01157cd635fa1b68ced394f0dedc4e228d622b9ec2449eeb3e8b4272b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DetonatioN FocusMeof DRX, DetonatioN FocusMe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cec…d241backed DRX | 45c | 844.44$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed DRX | 45c | 630$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 54c | 578.41$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.07 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed DRX | 45c | 219.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 55c | 199.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed DRX | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed DRX | 44c | 99.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 56c | 89.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed DRX | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed DRX | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 54c | 83.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 55c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked DRX | 46c | 72.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 55c | 58.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed DRX | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed DRX | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed DRX | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)this page
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: DRX (-2.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+2.5)DRX won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: DRX (-2.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+2.5)DRX won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: DRX (-3.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+3.5)DRX won
- Valorant: DRX vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaDRX won
- Valorant: DRX vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 1 WinnerDetonatioN FocusMe won
- Valorant: DRX vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 WinnerDRX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.