TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: DRX vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DetonatioN FocusMeof DRX, DetonatioN FocusMe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,028 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf33…0353backed DRX60c1,553$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.4833346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed DRX56c878.27$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.8718457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed DRX2c796.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.93224.5%1 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-92.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed DetonatioN FocusMe35c750$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.525554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed DRX65c750$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.593148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed DRX50c644.47$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.891,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed DetonatioN FocusMe27c581$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.341,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabea…4834backed DetonatioN FocusMe80c500$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.223100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked DRX29c490.35$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.991,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed DRX20c478$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.66630.3%20 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked DRX51c410.59$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.930652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed DRX78c352.39$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.215162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe72c322.47$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1450944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed DetonatioN FocusMe35c299.88$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.127241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed DetonatioN FocusMe61c268.92$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.924247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed DRX52c264.18$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1256357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked DetonatioN FocusMe39c258.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.0817642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked DRX67c223.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed DRX41c201.03$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4635331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f0c…da03backed DRX54c182.13$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1711738.5%45 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec7f…ab9ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe53c173.5$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.982556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked DRX63c165.12$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2514552.4%76 W · 69 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe32c160.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1584838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed DetonatioN FocusMe37c151.84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4336145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked DetonatioN FocusMe57c139.44$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.931,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked DRX48c122.61$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.791,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed DRX17c121.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.324140.2%97 W · 144 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed DetonatioN FocusMe34c120.17$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8265347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe44c118.46$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.691,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed DRX53c102$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8581134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4aff…9200backed DetonatioN FocusMe35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659139.6%36 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.927850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7012143%52 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked DetonatioN FocusMe44c87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5696245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed DRX60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.759838.8%38 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked DRX61c73$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1820138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed DetonatioN FocusMe41c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.318254.4%99 W · 83 L+22.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed DetonatioN FocusMe29c68.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.913446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe39c63.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.688844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed DetonatioN FocusMe52c61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0874642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed DetonatioN FocusMe55c60.4$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.189439.4%37 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked DRX54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-31.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f48…ba84backed DetonatioN FocusMe78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.538548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db0…2fedbacked DetonatioN FocusMe79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked DRX61c45.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5957151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked DRX44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9790733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked DRX64c44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9977744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked DRX54c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.561,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked DRX43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511735%41 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked DetonatioN FocusMe51c33.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5155348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked DRX64c31.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8570043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed DRX56c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3779650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed DRX67c29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.431741.2%7 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked DetonatioN FocusMe53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.425141.4%104 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked DRX64c17.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2132157.6%185 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.