Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wetzlar: Aaron Funk vs Marat Sharipov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc202536348dc05c266fb03c439b659738924fff06dd5354b1d43a1b16c23af97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aaron Funkof Aaron Funk, Marat Sharipov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aaron Funk | 57c | 21,989$12,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,535.03 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Marat Sharipov | 21c | 14,726$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.1 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Aaron Funk | 17c | 8,226$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,807.22 | 157 | 65.6%103 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Marat Sharipov | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 258 | 43.8%113 W · 145 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Aaron Funk | 41c | 942.98$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.09 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Aaron Funk | 19c | 699.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.99 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Aaron Funk | 14c | 600$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Marat Sharipov | 62c | 517.04$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.39 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Aaron Funk | 13c | 456.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Aaron Funk | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Aaron Funk | 10c | 262.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.67 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Aaron Funk | 26c | 256.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.35 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Marat Sharipov | 71c | 236.8$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.13 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aaron Funk | 21c | 228.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.91 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Aaron Funk | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marat Sharipov | 54c | 136.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Aaron Funk | 14c | 117.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Aaron Funk | 39c | 115.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Aaron Funk | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Aaron Funk | 52c | 96.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Marat Sharipov | 79c | 90$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marat Sharipov | 45c | 86.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Marat Sharipov | 13c | 86.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Marat Sharipov | 32c | 79.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Marat Sharipov | 79c | 75.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marat Sharipov | 52c | 68.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Marat Sharipov | 56c | 67.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Aaron Funk | 29c | 62.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Marat Sharipov | 79c | 54.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 338 | 51.2%173 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Aaron Funk | 36c | 50.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Marat Sharipov | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Aaron Funk | 41c | 48.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Aaron Funk | 28c | 47.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Marat Sharipov | 57c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353d…e6bcbacked Aaron Funk | 27c | 42.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Marat Sharipov | 79c | 26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Marat Sharipov | 79c | 25.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…371dbacked Marat Sharipov | 79c | 24.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…256dbacked Marat Sharipov | 79c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Marat Sharipov | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Marat Sharipov | 80c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.