Tennis · resolved market
Santiago: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Gustavo Heide
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc27f92549e0da3d37962ee1dfe82937976426a4f38b0a215519eb4c4bf880e82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Genaro Alberto Olivieriof Genaro Alberto Olivieri, Gustavo Heide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,650 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Gustavo Heide | 26c | 5,061$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.55 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 61c | 4,876$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.07 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Gustavo Heide | 38c | 3,893$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.02 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 15c | 3,229$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.99 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224e…f7ddbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 54c | 2,218$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.38 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gustavo Heide | 54c | 2,048$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.12 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 61c | 1,318$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.17 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 54c | 1,219$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.17 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gustavo Heide | 11c | 1,124$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gustavo Heide | 52c | 991.25$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.25 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gustavo Heide | 47c | 796.01$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.25 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gustavo Heide | 42c | 666.9$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.08 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 45c | 508$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.8 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 51c | 500.2$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 41c | 453.24$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.41 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Gustavo Heide | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Gustavo Heide | 15c | 380$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Gustavo Heide | 50c | 345.32$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.72 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 53c | 316.81$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Gustavo Heide | 45c | 290$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.81 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…f954backed Gustavo Heide | 16c | 235.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Gustavo Heide | 49c | 222.79$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 23c | 219.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.6 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…6fe7backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…39f3backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 52c | 192.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Gustavo Heide | 55c | 183.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Gustavo Heide | 46c | 179$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 55c | 173.94$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 40c | 150.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…717abacked Gustavo Heide | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gustavo Heide | 64c | 145.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 52c | 144.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1628…c90bbacked Gustavo Heide | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee3…03bcbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 50c | 120.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Gustavo Heide | 63c | 113.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Gustavo Heide | 52c | 107$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Gustavo Heide | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Gustavo Heide | 49c | 96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gustavo Heide | 79c | 90.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Gustavo Heide | 42c | 82.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f60…a419backed Gustavo Heide | 66c | 79.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Gustavo Heide | 74c | 63.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gustavo Heide | 60c | 62.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Gustavo Heide | 75c | 61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Gustavo Heide | 78c | 57.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Gustavo Heide | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Gustavo Heide | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…6100backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Gustavo Heide | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…69d0backed Gustavo Heide | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Gustavo Heide | 64c | 27.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Gustavo Heide | 60c | 25.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Gustavo Heide | 72c | 23.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 56c | 23.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Gustavo Heide | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gustavo Heide | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Gustavo Heide | 72c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.