Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2a670e05407ea64c279ee4b92a9f774f80790480da551436a7d1a09dbe4e262
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1 Academyof T1 Academy, HANJIN BRION Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T1 Academy | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 26c | 4,183$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.53 | 678 | 53.4%362 W · 316 L | +25.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed T1 Academy | 61c | 2,149$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.77 | 597 | 50.4%301 W · 296 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 39c | 1,093$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.27 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked T1 Academy | 59c | 1,039$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.83 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 38c | 999.96$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 40c | 731.68$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 41c | 566.22$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.15 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed T1 Academy | 61c | 410$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 39c | 394.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 40c | 373.55$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.42 | 595 | 48.2%287 W · 308 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed T1 Academy | 62c | 286.35$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 26c | 220.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…b919backed T1 Academy | 62c | 218.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked T1 Academy | 60c | 177.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 40c | 168.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked T1 Academy | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 38c | 113.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 39c | 105.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked T1 Academy | 61c | 104.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked T1 Academy | 62c | 91.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed T1 Academy | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 40c | 59.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 26c | 58.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed T1 Academy | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 39c | 40.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed T1 Academy | 62c | 39.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 40c | 37.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked T1 Academy | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…15b2backed T1 Academy | 62c | 29.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2T1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 WinnerT1 Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.