La Liga · resolved market
CD Mirandés vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2c899517cdb7389e9528c37ce6324763b86c42e39f5665f10ab5c39df7366ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 3,423$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.71 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 1,874$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.77 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 1,550$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.03 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 21c | 907.24$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.52 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 57c | 382.1$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.66 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 18c | 263.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 56c | 250.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Over | 80c | 241$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 106.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 24c | 101.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 99.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 99.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 98.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 18c | 87.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 18c | 87.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 18c | 87.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 18c | 87.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 18c | 87.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 18c | 87.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 18c | 87.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 48c | 80.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 65c | 69.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 53c | 49.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 24c | 46.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 42c | 39.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Over | 57c | 35.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Over | 44c | 30.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…e5eabacked Over | 58c | 30.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 57c | 23.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Over | 60c | 22.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Mirandés vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Mirandés vs. CD Castellón: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Mirandés vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Mirandés vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5Over won
- CD Mirandés vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)CD Mirandés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.