CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs BESTIA (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2c9ebdc248c915c88716d7582dc36082959d39e995fef30b8ed5f1dd07e975b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof Tricked, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Tricked | 50c | 2,092$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.68 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Tricked | 63c | 2,054$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.54 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Tricked | 54c | 1,324$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.59 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed BESTIA | 39c | 1,050$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked BESTIA | 71c | 974.01$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.65 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…39b8backed BESTIA | 57c | 744.89$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.86 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 49c | 660.03$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.51 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Tricked | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed BESTIA | 43c | 599.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 49c | 574.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tricked | 51c | 332.47$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.71 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed BESTIA | 48c | 309.82$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked BESTIA | 50c | 309.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.77 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Tricked | 51c | 307.94$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed BESTIA | 50c | 292.59$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed BESTIA | 48c | 282.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Tricked | 55c | 228.41$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Tricked | 45c | 208.14$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed BESTIA | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed BESTIA | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed BESTIA | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked BESTIA | 50c | 168.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed BESTIA | 31c | 161.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed BESTIA | 47c | 156.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed BESTIA | 44c | 152.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed BESTIA | 19c | 149.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Tricked | 51c | 127.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BESTIA | 47c | 125.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed BESTIA | 49c | 118.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed BESTIA | 50c | 112.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed BESTIA | 50c | 100.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Tricked | 55c | 98.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…63bbbacked BESTIA | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed BESTIA | 50c | 92.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed BESTIA | 60c | 81.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tricked | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Tricked | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f6…841abacked Tricked | 53c | 76.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed BESTIA | 17c | 72.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Tricked | 52c | 72.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tricked | 42c | 63.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed BESTIA | 48c | 62.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf79…850bbacked Tricked | 54c | 60.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked BESTIA | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Tricked | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…28fabacked BESTIA | 49c | 59.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BESTIA | 45c | 54.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…cf2dbacked Tricked | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Tricked | 70c | 42.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…3c85backed Tricked | 59c | 37.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed BESTIA | 49c | 36.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Tricked | 47c | 35.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8e…ca2ebacked BESTIA | 48c | 33.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…9484backed BESTIA | 49c | 28.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…3c12backed Tricked | 70c | 27.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed BESTIA | 44c | 26.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Tricked | 70c | 24.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed BESTIA | 42c | 24.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…d68fbacked BESTIA | 43c | 24.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Tricked | 49c | 22.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked BESTIA | 51c | 21.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Tricked | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Tricked | 73c | 14.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.