Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Alaa Trifi vs Daniel Bagnolini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2cc1a33cfbc9161838c16349f94e9b56b15f0bd62b09be16ea5ca933df10f27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alaa Trifiof Alaa Trifi, Daniel Bagnolini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alaa Trifi | 47c | 3,093$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.32 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daniel Bagnolini | 52c | 2,673$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.92 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Daniel Bagnolini | 58c | 537$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.39 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alaa Trifi | 61c | 449.97$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Daniel Bagnolini | 43c | 372$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Daniel Bagnolini | 39c | 337.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Daniel Bagnolini | 33c | 337.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Alaa Trifi | 50c | 200.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Daniel Bagnolini | 39c | 118.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Daniel Bagnolini | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alaa Trifi | 58c | 98.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alaa Trifi | 61c | 98.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Daniel Bagnolini | 59c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Daniel Bagnolini | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daniel Bagnolini | 62c | 51.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…10ffbacked Daniel Bagnolini | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Daniel Bagnolini | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alaa Trifi | 64c | 41.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…cac5backed Daniel Bagnolini | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Daniel Bagnolini | 61c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Daniel Bagnolini | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Daniel Bagnolini | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Daniel Bagnolini | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Alaa Trifi | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Daniel Bagnolini | 58c | 17.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.