Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc30137513dd7e2c71ce5d9ff823314c202b7392a2c4acc321155d5023396a6c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 51c | 3,692$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.91 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 49c | 1,905$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.51 | 1,097 | 52.3%574 W · 523 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Over | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…ec29backed Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 58c | 172.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…d1bbbacked Under | 44c | 154.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…cdddbacked Over | 49c | 111.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 56c | 109.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 56c | 108.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Under | 20c | 102.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 195 | 61.5%120 W · 75 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 44c | 82.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 76.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…8f50backed Under | 41c | 62.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Over | 53c | 55.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Over | 49c | 52.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835f…6ff7backed Over | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 52c | 45.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 72c | 43.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 659 | 54.5%359 W · 300 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under | 45c | 32.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Under | 52c | 32.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 48c | 29.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Over | 56c | 27.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 187 | 56.7%106 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Under | 45c | 26.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ad…e057backed Under | 47c | 26.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…d8dabacked Under | 53c | 19.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 70c | 16.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2KT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.