Cricket · resolved market
SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs MI Cape Town (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc30510c3bf17d5526082ddeceefbc430dc3db346b48be58eca97bed1d8b56999
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pretoria Capitalsof Pretoria Capitals, MI Cape Town
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Pretoria Capitals | 45c | 9,459$4,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,194.51 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed MI Cape Town | 61c | 7,711$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MI Cape Town | 1c | 3,747$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed MI Cape Town | 62c | 1,770$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked MI Cape Town | 50c | 1,768$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.33 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Pretoria Capitals | 39c | 1,721$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.78 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pretoria Capitals | 39c | 1,199$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.03 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Pretoria Capitals | 38c | 1,055$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.05 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked MI Cape Town | 18c | 900$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Pretoria Capitals | 50c | 896.29$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.95 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Pretoria Capitals | 41c | 703.69$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.55 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…78a1backed MI Cape Town | 6c | 700$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked Pretoria Capitals | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked MI Cape Town | 57c | 415.71$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed MI Cape Town | 55c | 415.71$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked MI Cape Town | 49c | 382.79$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.05 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed MI Cape Town | 62c | 356.53$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed MI Cape Town | 17c | 343.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed MI Cape Town | 57c | 322.84$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.02 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Pretoria Capitals | 31c | 316$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.04 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd65…fcfabacked Pretoria Capitals | 45c | 296.76$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Pretoria Capitals | 34c | 279.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.13 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…993dbacked Pretoria Capitals | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed MI Cape Town | 70c | 208.73$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.67 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Pretoria Capitals | 36c | 204.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.39 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Pretoria Capitals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Pretoria Capitals | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…27f8backed Pretoria Capitals | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked MI Cape Town | 5c | 195.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed MI Cape Town | 59c | 170.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb671…619bbacked Pretoria Capitals | 38c | 164.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…5f8ebacked MI Cape Town | 78c | 128.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2a…970fbacked MI Cape Town | 49c | 121.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked MI Cape Town | 60c | 115.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a14…fab6backed MI Cape Town | 57c | 115.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pretoria Capitals | 43c | 113$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed MI Cape Town | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Pretoria Capitals | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…b3dcbacked Pretoria Capitals | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed MI Cape Town | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed MI Cape Town | 54c | 91.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Pretoria Capitals | 37c | 89.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Pretoria Capitals | 39c | 84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked MI Cape Town | 60c | 67.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…ec4abacked Pretoria Capitals | 45c | 46.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Pretoria Capitals | 46c | 43.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Pretoria Capitals | 80c | 42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Pretoria Capitals | 35c | 40.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…ed39backed Pretoria Capitals | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed MI Cape Town | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…e547backed Pretoria Capitals | 76c | 32.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed MI Cape Town | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Pretoria Capitals | 40c | 27.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed MI Cape Town | 49c | 25.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Pretoria Capitals | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf97c…dc12backed Pretoria Capitals | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked MI Cape Town | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed MI Cape Town | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…eb47backed MI Cape Town | 80c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 76cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…ba41backed MI Cape Town | 59c | 18.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.