Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland State Vikings vs. Tulane Green Wave
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc32ec1b038ef6ecfafb106e597b87226cd6a4fbe74414f616bddd7afb51ef169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulane Green Waveof Portland State Vikings, Tulane Green Wave
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tulane Green Wave | 56c | 2,299$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.47 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Portland State Vikings | 48c | 1,681$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tulane Green Wave | 60c | 1,418$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.1 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Portland State Vikings | 21c | 1,239$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.01 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tulane Green Wave | 58c | 879.07$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Portland State Vikings | 54c | 851.15$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.31 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Portland State Vikings | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…f4d3backed Portland State Vikings | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Portland State Vikings | 37c | 342.94$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.94 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Portland State Vikings | 37c | 327.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Portland State Vikings | 35c | 324.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Tulane Green Wave | 64c | 245$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Portland State Vikings | 42c | 239.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tulane Green Wave | 79c | 180.6$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tulane Green Wave | 62c | 173$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Tulane Green Wave | 63c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tulane Green Wave | 79c | 65.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Portland State Vikings | 37c | 61.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Portland State Vikings | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Portland State Vikings | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…7d7bbacked Portland State Vikings | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tulane Green Wave | 57c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.