Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Lamar Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc35f4134fbc9bb024d4664a2fd74837479fb6d6744b9174d17c417706a9708cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksof Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, Lamar Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Lamar Cardinals | 1c | 55,000$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.3 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 64c | 4,156$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.86 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lamar Cardinals | 1c | 3,706$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 58c | 1,870$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.47 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 66c | 1,752$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.61 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Lamar Cardinals | 28c | 1,212$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lamar Cardinals | 33c | 1,135$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.65 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lamar Cardinals | 38c | 932.21$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Lamar Cardinals | 37c | 849.12$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.97 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Lamar Cardinals | 36c | 695$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.09 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Lamar Cardinals | 32c | 618.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Lamar Cardinals | 34c | 589.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Lamar Cardinals | 24c | 300.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 58c | 244.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lamar Cardinals | 33c | 223.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lamar Cardinals | 36c | 220.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 69c | 157.47$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 76c | 151.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 70c | 137$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 70c | 112$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lamar Cardinals | 39c | 107$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 75c | 99.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Lamar Cardinals | 36c | 89.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lamar Cardinals | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lamar Cardinals | 27c | 46.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lamar Cardinals | 36c | 37.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 64c | 30.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 58c | 25.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.