Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ea6c6bb3be674ef97b1322de09ec9551e6a70ae9aee0ee69ffa7f9cdc1cc7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 28c | 2,781$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.95 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 40c | 2,734$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.87 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 2,203$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.09 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 72c | 1,482$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.04 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 71c | 1,244$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.64 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 60c | 436.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.39 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed Yes | 16c | 309.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 7c | 280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Yes | 30c | 278$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 20c | 194.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Yes | 27c | 144.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed No | 43c | 112.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 59c | 109.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 90.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Yes | 30c | 88.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 30c | 81.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 26c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 40c | 62.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 49.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 23c | 47.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 59c | 40.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed No | 60c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Yes | 41c | 36.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 56c | 33.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 31.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5953…192fbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed No | 66c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 65 | 92.3%60 W · 5 L | +17.6wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
- Will FC Tōkyō vs. FC Machida Zelvia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.