Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3fef41db7dfd4d7e8fecca120ddd3a63d601d3e5354ee2eb55f3b27e1a65389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 2,711$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.22 | 2,103 | 36.6%770 W · 1,333 L | -27.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 1,735$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.81 | 5,677 | 42%2,382 W · 3,295 L | +74.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 30c | 989.2$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.66 | 965 | 42.9%414 W · 551 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 17c | 565.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 386 | 39.4%152 W · 234 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 78c | 399.98$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 389.45$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 2,123 | 35.5%754 W · 1,369 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 72c | 332.81$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked Yes | 29c | 247.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 22c | 153.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 1,507 | 48.1%725 W · 782 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 73c | 137.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed No | 78c | 104.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 221 | 74.2%164 W · 57 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…e7debacked Yes | 30c | 97.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Yes | 20c | 86.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 78c | 82.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…bfafbacked Yes | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…ab46backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 57.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 669 | 41.4%277 W · 392 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 71c | 55.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 53.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 71c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 128 | 64.8%83 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2,729 | 35.8%978 W · 1,751 L | -13.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-08-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.