TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Envyof Team Envy, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,497 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfdc0…4b85backed LOUD16c1,593$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1993148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed LOUD18c948.52$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6756357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD18c791.05$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3953355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked LOUD18c764.23$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4965559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Team Envy60c650.67$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.272944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed LOUD41c613.73$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.635728.1%16 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked LOUD43c592.12$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.792934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LOUD16c554.16$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7168458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed LOUD17c475.1$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.772240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked LOUD36c458.72$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7361035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Envy61c411.54$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.570251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Team Envy65c384.21$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.519859.2%58 W · 40 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed LOUD15c266.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2753159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked LOUD40c252.84$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1412948.1%62 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked LOUD31c241.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.815347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad9…fc71backed LOUD24c199.46$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed LOUD8c161.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.661,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed LOUD44c153.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6510225.5%26 W · 76 L-10.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Team Envy64c153.75$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9442840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea86…6fb4backed LOUD34c148.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.399255.4%51 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Team Envy70c115.89$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.371741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed LOUD39c110.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.334450%22 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked LOUD37c103.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1421240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…563ebacked LOUD10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed Team Envy64c45.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.69654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…13bfbacked LOUD31c45.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed LOUD40c36.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8515255.9%85 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Envy61c32.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.919661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Team Envy71c27.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0312350.4%62 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Team Envy79c24.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.074744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Team Envy63c22.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.456759.7%40 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.