Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe69b27be7ddcd58d370cba7c4eac7c5415cbff369f2cb63d0b50ba49e348e2e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof Team Envy, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa825…255ebacked LOUD | 67c | 427.55$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Team Envy | 44c | 415.47$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.38 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked LOUD | 58c | 409.22$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.96 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Team Envy | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Team Envy | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed LOUD | 62c | 194.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…4ecebacked Team Envy | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked LOUD | 65c | 147.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Team Envy | 38c | 123.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked LOUD | 74c | 92.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Team Envy | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…8fe6backed Team Envy | 36c | 59.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Team Envy | 36c | 59.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed LOUD | 52c | 43.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…472dbacked Team Envy | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Team Envy | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked LOUD | 50c | 34.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed LOUD | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c9…de73backed LOUD | 51c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaLOUD won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD - Map 1 WinnerTeam Envy won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD - Map 2 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.