Tennis · resolved market
ITF Champaign: Ronit Karki vs Lev Seidman
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4969998dd21d8fc30cacf6d2595c0b4e8ecd4c369ee27de59a3b5879d801cb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lev Seidmanof Ronit Karki, Lev Seidman
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ronit Karki | 50c | 6,551$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.1 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lev Seidman | 49c | 2,000$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.36 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Lev Seidman | 63c | 1,637$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.9 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ronit Karki | 50c | 1,534$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.95 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Lev Seidman | 60c | 1,422$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.13 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Lev Seidman | 46c | 678.03$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.03 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Lev Seidman | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Lev Seidman | 44c | 259.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.09 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Lev Seidman | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Lev Seidman | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Lev Seidman | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Lev Seidman | 74c | 136.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Lev Seidman | 52c | 125.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Lev Seidman | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Lev Seidman | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Lev Seidman | 44c | 120.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Lev Seidman | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Ronit Karki | 56c | 105.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Lev Seidman | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Lev Seidman | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Lev Seidman | 48c | 100.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Lev Seidman | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Lev Seidman | 44c | 97.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ronit Karki | 28c | 92.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Lev Seidman | 54c | 80.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Lev Seidman | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Lev Seidman | 48c | 62.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lev Seidman | 46c | 47.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Lev Seidman | 53c | 40.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Lev Seidman | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Lev Seidman | 50c | 37.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ronit Karki | 79c | 34.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Ronit Karki | 55c | 25.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Lev Seidman | 59c | 25.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.