CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4a443813088a7ca7b14a135eb923d9ae0bef398d9642fce1719e7df78e2cf0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC.Game Esportsof HAVU, BC.Game Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HAVU | 11c | 6,000$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.69 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed HAVU | 22c | 2,596$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.03 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked HAVU | 15c | 1,944$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked HAVU | 18c | 1,199$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.36 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HAVU | 15c | 1,167$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed HAVU | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…8bf1backed HAVU | 20c | 973.52$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed HAVU | 16c | 788.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed HAVU | 14c | 699.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked HAVU | 3c | 698$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…ff46backed HAVU | 9c | 682.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HAVU | 14c | 587.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked HAVU | 14c | 458.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed HAVU | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…7d13backed HAVU | 15c | 390.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked HAVU | 13c | 390$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked HAVU | 13c | 389.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked HAVU | 15c | 360$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked HAVU | 13c | 359.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HAVU | 6c | 353.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed HAVU | 14c | 349.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked HAVU | 11c | 306.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked HAVU | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed HAVU | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed HAVU | 18c | 288.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked HAVU | 14c | 276.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed HAVU | 14c | 261.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked HAVU | 7c | 256.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked HAVU | 17c | 222.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HAVU | 8c | 213.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed HAVU | 16c | 190.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc591…d811backed HAVU | 7c | 168.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…7c42backed HAVU | 17c | 151.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked HAVU | 17c | 119.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed HAVU | 21c | 116.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed HAVU | 14c | 113.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed HAVU | 13c | 112.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked HAVU | 12c | 100.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked HAVU | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked HAVU | 17c | 85.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed HAVU | 22c | 83.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f31…b34cbacked HAVU | 16c | 81.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed BC.Game Esports | 79c | 75.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…82febacked HAVU | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed HAVU | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 247 | 56.7%140 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed HAVU | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Group Bthis page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-6.5) vs HAVU (+6.5)HAVU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.