Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Sara Saito
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4ba48cdc33918d96edfbf1adf52e5f8af8a5e6e1ef65b7a7872fd7427ac6cc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sara Saitoof Chengyiyi Yuan, Sara Saito
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sara Saito | 78c | 2,659$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.89 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 30c | 1,002$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.35 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sara Saito | 63c | 722.01$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.45 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 20c | 552.79$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Sara Saito | 60c | 408.03$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.21 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 30c | 299.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…daf5backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 38c | 271.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Sara Saito | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sara Saito | 65c | 197.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 22c | 108.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 24c | 90.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sara Saito | 63c | 68.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 31c | 62.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 32c | 60.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sara Saito | 63c | 59.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Sara Saito | 80c | 55.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 27c | 49.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Sara Saito | 66c | 47.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 35c | 45.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 183 | 30.1%55 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Sara Saito | 69c | 35.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Sara Saito | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Sara Saito | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Sara Saito | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.