Lol · resolved market
LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4c8c9cbe3efc80bd5b51a77f14883fef6b203b03fda702f3588bce54425de74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TLN Piratesof Joblife, TLN Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Joblife | 7c | 2,256$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.76 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TLN Pirates | 26c | 1,365$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.75 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…e009backed Joblife | 2c | 1,300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Joblife | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked TLN Pirates | 77c | 1,117$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.37 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Joblife | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked Joblife | 80c | 1,042$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Joblife | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed Joblife | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TLN Pirates | 18c | 972.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.98 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Joblife | 2c | 900$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +361.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Joblife | 79c | 686$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.51 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed TLN Pirates | 14c | 619.04$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.26 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TLN Pirates | 23c | 584.19$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.22 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…a27ebacked Joblife | 76c | 525.69$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.58 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed Joblife | 24c | 500$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked TLN Pirates | 18c | 387.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.72 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked TLN Pirates | 45c | 383.55$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.95 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a8…68ebbacked Joblife | 61c | 324$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed TLN Pirates | 52c | 300$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 274 | 55.8%153 W · 121 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e4c2backed Joblife | 36c | 281.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Joblife | 63c | 281.58$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.95 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed TLN Pirates | 67c | 274.68$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Joblife | 77c | 250$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed TLN Pirates | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…b8bebacked Joblife | 33c | 244$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed TLN Pirates | 39c | 243.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Joblife | 55c | 227.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Joblife | 12c | 223.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked TLN Pirates | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed TLN Pirates | 44c | 219.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed TLN Pirates | 18c | 216.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.39 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed TLN Pirates | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…9f9cbacked Joblife | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Joblife | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed TLN Pirates | 34c | 169.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked TLN Pirates | 38c | 160$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Joblife | 66c | 152.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc1…f100backed TLN Pirates | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Joblife | 26c | 116.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed TLN Pirates | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Joblife | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Joblife | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Joblife | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Joblife | 63c | 87.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…c2bbbacked Joblife | 66c | 75.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7db6backed TLN Pirates | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed TLN Pirates | 44c | 68.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…4dcebacked Joblife | 61c | 65.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TLN Pirates | 22c | 60.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Joblife | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Joblife | 46c | 58.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked TLN Pirates | 48c | 57.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…74d7backed Joblife | 56c | 53.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Joblife | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed TLN Pirates | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed TLN Pirates | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Joblife | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d74…d062backed Joblife | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Joblife | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed TLN Pirates | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Joblife | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Joblife | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.