Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4cce270797ea1738219780f622644e65353d313e45fb0e891e8aec07ecf3beb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,976 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 52c | 1,917$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.89 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 1,761$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.12 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 55c | 1,376$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.3 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…fc57backed Over | 54c | 1,090$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…3b82backed Over | 54c | 991.31$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818c…7ecebacked Over | 54c | 842.61$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Under | 67c | 623.34$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.45 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 613.24$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.44 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 498.47$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 48c | 399.76$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.88 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 40c | 322.2$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.29 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 303.12$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 46c | 269.38$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 233.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Under | 55c | 210.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.61 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 44c | 198.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 42c | 175.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 156.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 58c | 155.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 148.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 56c | 134.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 45c | 109.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 47c | 105.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 45c | 99.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 45c | 91.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 46c | 91.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…919fbacked Under | 45c | 62.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 31c | 60.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 50c | 54.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 49c | 54.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 46c | 53.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 53.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 44c | 44.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 44c | 44.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 44c | 44.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f02…7b1cbacked Under | 68c | 36.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Over | 53c | 36.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 47c | 31.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…8335backed Over | 56c | 29.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…9074backed Over | 47c | 24.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 44c | 23.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 55c | 20.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 58c | 17.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 143.5this page
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Richmond SpidersLoyola Chicago Ramblers won
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 141.5Over won
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 142.5Under won
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Richmond Spiders (-4.5)Loyola Chicago Ramblers won
- Spread: Richmond Spiders (-5.5)Loyola Chicago Ramblers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.