Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4ce8e4888b480bc576560dedcb2faa1595ae3165578b1a8607ee5dbffcdf7ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,659 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.36 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,887$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 46c | 1,962$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.01 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 1,812$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.61 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 1,276$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.76 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 52c | 867.36$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.06 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 53c | 597.28$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.72 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Over | 48c | 595.44$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 49c | 298.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 51c | 217.82$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 23c | 194.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 60c | 177.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 49c | 148.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 46c | 145.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 139.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Over | 46c | 129.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 111.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…3addbacked Over | 32c | 109.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 48c | 104.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 55c | 77.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 74.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 60.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 47c | 59.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Over | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Over | 50c | 45.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 50c | 44.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…717dbacked Under | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Under | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…0975backed Over | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…8fcabacked Under | 52c | 26.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Over | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 49c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks: O/U 160.5this page
- Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota Fighting HawksNorth Dakota Fighting Hawks won
- Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Denver Pioneers (-3.5)North Dakota Fighting Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.