Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0bf4ec0feb2b6064d1101af2233c98e20ed060d2f24a9ddf711c116d37e222d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota Fighting Hawksof Denver Pioneers, North Dakota Fighting Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,436 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Denver Pioneers | 1c | 2,715$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Denver Pioneers | 51c | 1,464$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.57 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 57c | 1,447$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.75 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 47c | 1,191$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.1 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Denver Pioneers | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Denver Pioneers | 34c | 717.94$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.64 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 41c | 595.93$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.47 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Denver Pioneers | 53c | 586.66$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.71 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Denver Pioneers | 52c | 544.2$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.99 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 41c | 523.53$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.88 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 65c | 509.2$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.73 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Denver Pioneers | 60c | 450.39$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.74 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Denver Pioneers | 50c | 339.2$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.79 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Denver Pioneers | 34c | 315.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Denver Pioneers | 65c | 306.71$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 41c | 258.79$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.69 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 40c | 227.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Denver Pioneers | 50c | 222.44$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 56c | 210.71$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 39c | 198.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.98 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 41c | 198.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 41c | 165.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Denver Pioneers | 61c | 162.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 48c | 140.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 40c | 122.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Denver Pioneers | 59c | 98.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Denver Pioneers | 44c | 89.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Denver Pioneers | 54c | 59.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Denver Pioneers | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Denver Pioneers | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 40c | 49.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Denver Pioneers | 34c | 44.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Denver Pioneers | 48c | 39.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…4fc5backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 79c | 37.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Denver Pioneers | 61c | 32.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…7353backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 41c | 29.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…48e8backed Denver Pioneers | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawksthis page
- Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks: O/U 158.5Under won
- Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks: O/U 160.5Under won
- Spread: Denver Pioneers (-3.5)North Dakota Fighting Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.