TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Merrimack College Warriors vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Merrimack College Warriorsof Merrimack College Warriors, Sacred Heart Pioneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers33c7,304$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.225,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Merrimack College Warriors44c5,469$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.891,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Merrimack College Warriors72c5,052$3,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.883,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Sacred Heart Pioneers58c3,709$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.1355657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Merrimack College Warriors47c2,403$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.012,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers23c2,184$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.511,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Merrimack College Warriors48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.333943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sacred Heart Pioneers8c2,013$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.322,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers57c1,801$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.6312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sacred Heart Pioneers39c1,683$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.355,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers52c1,500$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sacred Heart Pioneers10c1,368$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.84,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Merrimack College Warriors72c1,157$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.671,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sacred Heart Pioneers14c1,028$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.892,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Sacred Heart Pioneers15c1,023$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.482,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Sacred Heart Pioneers59c910.96$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.271,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05db…47d9backed Sacred Heart Pioneers55c546$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Sacred Heart Pioneers57c465.31$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26516135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Merrimack College Warriors68c454.76$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.094,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Merrimack College Warriors48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers56c396.99$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.311,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers29c372$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3523158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sacred Heart Pioneers29c347.88$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.272,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sacred Heart Pioneers13c341.07$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.861,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Merrimack College Warriors59c329.61$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13573549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sacred Heart Pioneers20c296.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.053,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Merrimack College Warriors44c261.35$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Merrimack College Warriors71c249$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3249747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca73…b02ebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers6c229.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Merrimack College Warriors44c219.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.221449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Sacred Heart Pioneers20c199.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8345644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sacred Heart Pioneers29c176.68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.921,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Merrimack College Warriors48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.21,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Merrimack College Warriors73c137.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.816100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Merrimack College Warriors73c137.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.410757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Merrimack College Warriors45c125$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.751,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers20c115$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.232343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0aba…fde3backed Sacred Heart Pioneers51c104.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Sacred Heart Pioneers10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b6…31e9backed Sacred Heart Pioneers31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Sacred Heart Pioneers31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed0…7ad5backed Merrimack College Warriors72c69.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers30c66.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Sacred Heart Pioneers53c53.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.521535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Sacred Heart Pioneers28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.242327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Sacred Heart Pioneers55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Sacred Heart Pioneers31c35.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+88.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x581b…f083backed Merrimack College Warriors48c29.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sacred Heart Pioneers53c26.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9213046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Merrimack College Warriors47c23.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.563357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Merrimack College Warriors73c22.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.158341%34 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers57c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.975253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.