La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-03-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4f206e24ffdab2edf493ea0354f2ae7da4f92ecfaac106ea99b6c5bf04440d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,162 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 73c | 3,229$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.94 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,650$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.5 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 2,518$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.59 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.23 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 27c | 999.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 4c | 733.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 18c | 513.3$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 11c | 284.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 249.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 73c | 111.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 12c | 110.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 27c | 106.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 12c | 106.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 28c | 81.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 18c | 74.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 50.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 26c | 38.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 69c | 31.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-03-20?this page
- Will SD Huesca vs. UD Almería end in a draw?No won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-03-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.