La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-03-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce003b983a4dd3cc6bfbc1c6822f881a3625ac70261dde8db7f679cf47e33e8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,339 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 43c | 7,345$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150.99 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 57c | 5,830$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.89 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 5,281$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.19 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 5c | 4,252$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.17 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 53c | 2,511$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.03 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 1,217$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.77 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 45c | 934.09$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.34 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 46c | 924.3$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 5c | 893.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 32c | 781.09$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.24 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 7c | 624.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 49c | 563.14$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.92 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 32c | 501.09$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.54 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 44c | 452.27$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.27 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…5a49backed No | 56c | 400.07$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 49c | 296.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 70c | 278.87$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed No | 38c | 252.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 250.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 67c | 243.2$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked No | 50c | 236.15$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 228$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 195.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 164.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 18c | 162.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 34c | 153.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 40c | 151.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…a2cabacked Yes | 42c | 148.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 41c | 148.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 147.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…267ebacked Yes | 70c | 143.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…8982backed Yes | 70c | 128.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 58c | 105.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 55c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked No | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked No | 59c | 89.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 43c | 88.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…0687backed No | 58c | 85.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 47c | 77.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…9c4fbacked No | 59c | 76.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Yes | 63c | 74.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e2…4c57backed No | 58c | 73.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…0801backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 34c | 55.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 40c | 51.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 64c | 51.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x27d0…5444backed Yes | 45c | 43.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked No | 35c | 42.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 38c | 42.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 42c | 41.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 65c | 39.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10b…9885backed No | 57c | 39.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 49c | 38.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…4867backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 34c | 32.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 30.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 56c | 30.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 40c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 68c | 28.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 61c | 27.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 44c | 26.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fb…65d3backed Yes | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 57c | 20.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…0e0cbacked No | 57c | 19.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 18.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-03-20?this page
- Will SD Huesca vs. UD Almería end in a draw?No won
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-03-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.