Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Xinxin Yao vs Reina Goto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4f247bc2515bca6201cae86f5fba98db7b05affcf77f50bea93a03ba5ee20ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xinxin Yaoof Xinxin Yao, Reina Goto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Reina Goto | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xinxin Yao | 44c | 671.43$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Reina Goto | 56c | 614.84$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.33 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reina Goto | 33c | 512.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.37 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Xinxin Yao | 72c | 328.57$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Reina Goto | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…6359backed Reina Goto | 33c | 230.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Xinxin Yao | 71c | 230$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Xinxin Yao | 13c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Reina Goto | 68c | 146.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Reina Goto | 51c | 131$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Xinxin Yao | 70c | 114.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Xinxin Yao | 60c | 108.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Reina Goto | 30c | 106.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Xinxin Yao | 50c | 100.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Reina Goto | 59c | 96.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Xinxin Yao | 46c | 86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Reina Goto | 61c | 83.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Reina Goto | 50c | 72.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Reina Goto | 30c | 66.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Reina Goto | 72c | 64.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Xinxin Yao | 75c | 60.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xinxin Yao | 33c | 60.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Reina Goto | 61c | 60.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Xinxin Yao | 29c | 53.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…39c8backed Xinxin Yao | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Reina Goto | 39c | 48.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Reina Goto | 59c | 44.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Xinxin Yao | 33c | 42.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…7d2ebacked Xinxin Yao | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Xinxin Yao | 68c | 33.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Xinxin Yao | 56c | 32.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Xinxin Yao | 52c | 28.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…17c4backed Xinxin Yao | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed Xinxin Yao | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +15.0wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Reina Goto | 59c | 19.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.