Tennis · resolved market
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Reda Bennani
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc58b7b27f6a8e7a0049f7dd562167c220d325165ee760c27648493053ae64490
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yibing Wuof Yibing Wu, Reda Bennani
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Reda Bennani | 8c | 9,852$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.02 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Reda Bennani | 7c | 5,045$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Reda Bennani | 5c | 4,273$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Reda Bennani | 6c | 3,256$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.72 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reda Bennani | 6c | 1,647$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Reda Bennani | 7c | 1,195$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Reda Bennani | 3c | 1,098$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 148 | 22.3%33 W · 115 L | -14.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Reda Bennani | 3c | 1,097$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Reda Bennani | 22c | 1,006$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.43 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Reda Bennani | 5c | 986.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Reda Bennani | 23c | 490.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yibing Wu | 78c | 392.67$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Reda Bennani | 12c | 304.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yibing Wu | 77c | 266.27$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Reda Bennani | 20c | 264.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yibing Wu | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Yibing Wu | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reda Bennani | 10c | 190.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…a71abacked Reda Bennani | 11c | 145.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Yibing Wu | 77c | 143.8$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yibing Wu | 77c | 135$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Yibing Wu | 79c | 129.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Reda Bennani | 9c | 119.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Reda Bennani | 21c | 115.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Yibing Wu | 77c | 99.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Reda Bennani | 20c | 75.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Reda Bennani | 23c | 50.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yibing Wu | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Yibing Wu | 79c | 31.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 165 | 60%99 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Yibing Wu | 80c | 24.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Yibing Wu | 77c | 23.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…ccf1backed Yibing Wu | 78c | 20.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.