MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5e1d39300805f2970640014dd5ea511c99808ab26238ceed1b447a11aaa4f02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 78c | 710.45$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.39 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 426.88$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.89 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lotte Giants | 64c | 353.38$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.57 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 13c | 346.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 316.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kiwoom Heroes | 55c | 292.38$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 260.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 245.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 205.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 162.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 156.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kiwoom Heroes | 26c | 139.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 77c | 110.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Kiwoom Heroes | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…000cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 55c | 92.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 84.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 54c | 81.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 56c | 70.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kiwoom Heroes | 55c | 66.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 61.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 55.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc26…5039backed Kiwoom Heroes | 55c | 53.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 51.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 56c | 50.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 49.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Lotte Giants | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Lotte Giants | 66c | 40.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 372 | 67.7%252 W · 120 L | +33.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 38.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 37.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 36.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 53c | 32.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed Kiwoom Heroes | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 28.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.