Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Xavier Musketeers vs. Georgetown Hoyas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc62621c0d9a2b2aef278ed5cd4d4acaef1789174e8223b03413f11dc39599800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xavier Musketeersof Xavier Musketeers, Georgetown Hoyas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee14…8055backed Xavier Musketeers | 71c | 5,273$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.61 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Georgetown Hoyas | 35c | 4,601$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.29 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Georgetown Hoyas | 67c | 3,614$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.55 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Georgetown Hoyas | 3c | 1,785$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Xavier Musketeers | 32c | 999.91$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.94 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Xavier Musketeers | 33c | 785.09$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.01 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Georgetown Hoyas | 29c | 703.45$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xavier Musketeers | 50c | 493$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 481.21$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 14c | 421$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Xavier Musketeers | 33c | 394.24$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Xavier Musketeers | 34c | 350.21$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.14 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 31c | 331$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.7 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Xavier Musketeers | 39c | 307.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.67 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 21c | 282$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 33c | 243.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Xavier Musketeers | 31c | 220.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.82 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 19c | 210$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Xavier Musketeers | 35c | 199$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Georgetown Hoyas | 35c | 153$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 33c | 141$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Georgetown Hoyas | 37c | 135.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Xavier Musketeers | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Georgetown Hoyas | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Xavier Musketeers | 52c | 91.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Georgetown Hoyas | 43c | 84.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Xavier Musketeers | 33c | 55.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9122…767fbacked Xavier Musketeers | 29c | 48.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +245.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Xavier Musketeers | 34c | 42.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Xavier Musketeers | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Xavier Musketeers | 28c | 39.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Xavier Musketeers | 33c | 35.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Georgetown Hoyas | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Georgetown Hoyas | 70c | 17.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.