Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Gabriele Bosio vs Alexandr Binda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc649cbb46ade79084f54fa945704b39876322cc33fea1935098da0626d006332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gabriele Bosioof Gabriele Bosio, Alexandr Binda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alexandr Binda | 19c | 771.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Alexandr Binda | 67c | 750.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alexandr Binda | 19c | 632.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gabriele Bosio | 51c | 520.71$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.62 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Alexandr Binda | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexandr Binda | 16c | 340.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gabriele Bosio | 38c | 263.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gabriele Bosio | 35c | 187.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.64 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alexandr Binda | 30c | 141.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Gabriele Bosio | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Gabriele Bosio | 38c | 102.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Alexandr Binda | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed Gabriele Bosio | 40c | 80.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Alexandr Binda | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Alexandr Binda | 29c | 54.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Gabriele Bosio | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gabriele Bosio | 38c | 45.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Alexandr Binda | 59c | 30.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Gabriele Bosio | 41c | 29.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Gabriele Bosio | 37c | 27.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb55…0de3backed Alexandr Binda | 65c | 20.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Gabriele Bosio | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.