NHL · resolved market
KHL: HC Sochi vs. HC Dynamo Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc64a155a0847a31bb47c52ad2ed76d0876586565ad988f9ced8b1bcb49577d1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HC Sochiof HC Sochi, HC Dynamo Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed HC Sochi | 32c | 41,062$13,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,723.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +207.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 31,881$22,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,574.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 67c | 16,752$11,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,224.15 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed HC Sochi | 25c | 5,172$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,884.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked HC Sochi | 24c | 3,749$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.06 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…c333backed HC Sochi | 29c | 3,300$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…2077backed HC Sochi | 29c | 3,100$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945b…27c7backed HC Sochi | 29c | 2,700$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked HC Sochi | 27c | 1,317$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.17 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586c…7667backed HC Sochi | 29c | 1,147$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…c961backed HC Sochi | 29c | 1,097$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…b4f5backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…1e2ebacked HC Sochi | 29c | 922$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…355fbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 831$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…5290backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 825$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…0e3cbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 800$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…528cbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 800$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…afb1backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 800$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…9f8fbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 800$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…9982backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 800$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…e5edbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 800$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcf…3123backed HC Sochi | 29c | 786$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 702.82$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…c3e4backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 700$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…63eabacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 700$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b7d8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 700$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b48…1769backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 700$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…7d14backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 687$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked HC Sochi | 25c | 684.56$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.05 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…c67abacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 657$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…6448backed HC Sochi | 28c | 649$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…ae5ebacked HC Sochi | 29c | 587$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…9a7fbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed HC Sochi | 27c | 499.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.49 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…83cbbacked HC Sochi | 28c | 413$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…4080backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 72c | 359$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5853…dc28backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 73c | 346.88$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…e4edbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 322$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…85dbbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 320$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…bde0backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 72c | 290$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…27b7backed HC Sochi | 28c | 283$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…82f6backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 72c | 283$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…04bebacked HC Sochi | 28c | 278$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +130%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef7…9da3backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 267$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…92f5backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 266$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…24f9backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 235$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed HC Sochi | 34c | 187.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4079…5331backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 72c | 163$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14da…a372backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 72c | 144$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed HC Sochi | 23c | 135$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…e999backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 72c | 134$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…6f2ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 72c | 130$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…cf22backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 129$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0512…1c32backed HC Sochi | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +231.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f5…027fbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 72c | 120$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…fdf8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 73c | 99.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed HC Sochi | 29c | 96.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 69c | 77.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed HC Sochi | 30c | 77.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6ca4backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 75c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed HC Sochi | 28c | 68.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2e…bf82backed HC Sochi | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed HC Sochi | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…0350backed HC Sochi | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…d964backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 72c | 41.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe798…b668backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 73c | 41.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed HC Sochi | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…dcd9backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 67c | 22.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b9…7e4fbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.