CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc68b3956fe3bbcda2661eb35150f71d82f9c48141782f06bc1d1ee94907b4f2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Iowa Stormboar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Iowa Stormboar | 3c | 7,297$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.63 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Iowa Stormboar | 3c | 4,870$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Iowa Stormboar | 4c | 4,426$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.71 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Iowa Stormboar | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Iowa Stormboar | 3c | 1,923$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Iowa Stormboar | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Iowa Stormboar | 6c | 949.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9f14backed Iowa Stormboar | 3c | 743.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…0dbbbacked Iowa Stormboar | 3c | 742.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Iowa Stormboar | 3c | 633.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…b8f2backed Iowa Stormboar | 3c | 428.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Iowa Stormboar | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed Iowa Stormboar | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…d902backed Iowa Stormboar | 3c | 377.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Iowa Stormboar | 3c | 351.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Iowa Stormboar | 7c | 287$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Iowa Stormboar | 13c | 273.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Iowa Stormboar | 8c | 246.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Iowa Stormboar | 9c | 211.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Iowa Stormboar | 7c | 207.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362b…fb9abacked Iowa Stormboar | 6c | 180.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Iowa Stormboar | 8c | 148.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d922backed Iowa Stormboar | 14c | 139.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Iowa Stormboar (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.