Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 2: Carole Monnet vs Suzan Lamens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6b00798257710d2b5cc7fea60e7c23798baae493af31275440cb71756b30c85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lamensof Monnet, Lamens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Monnet | 42c | 3,747$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.29 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Lamens | 58c | 3,257$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.81 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Monnet | 28c | 3,018$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.54 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Monnet | 33c | 2,339$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.77 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Lamens | 66c | 1,433$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.36 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Lamens | 71c | 799.99$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lamens | 72c | 418.27$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Lamens | 72c | 343.43$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Monnet | 41c | 323.45$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Monnet | 34c | 316.59$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Monnet | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monnet | 31c | 248.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Monnet | 33c | 230.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Lamens | 73c | 199.86$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Lamens | 69c | 188.27$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Monnet | 27c | 182.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Lamens | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lamens | 60c | 145.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Monnet | 33c | 140.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Monnet | 30c | 130.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Monnet | 30c | 100.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Monnet | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Monnet | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…ae11backed Lamens | 76c | 84.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Monnet | 24c | 83.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Monnet | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Lamens | 68c | 73.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 331 | 55.6%184 W · 147 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Monnet | 42c | 71.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Lamens | 61c | 66.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Monnet | 28c | 64.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Monnet | 28c | 60.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Monnet | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…ffc4backed Monnet | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Lamens | 77c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Monnet | 37c | 49.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…8cd6backed Monnet | 42c | 48.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Lamens | 61c | 44.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Monnet | 42c | 43.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Monnet | 29c | 40.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Monnet | 39c | 37.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Monnet | 37c | 37.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Lamens | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Lamens | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lamens | 74c | 30.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lamens | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655f…be5fbacked Lamens | 61c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Lamens | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Lamens | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Lamens | 66c | 19.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.