South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f762722908513083447f9f38d4ac71915c228df28f4a3a0514f9b37064d49a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…ec2dbacked No | 79c | 2,730$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 1,679$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.88 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 23c | 1,518$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.08 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 13c | 1,058$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.17 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 764.23$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.46 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 54c | 680.06$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.91 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 40c | 650$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 38c | 526.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.48 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 51c | 489$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.39 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 445.81$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.72 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 38c | 368.35$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.21 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 31c | 303.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.37 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6298…a8dfbacked Yes | 51c | 296.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 51c | 292$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 226.08$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 46c | 210.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…a6d8backed Yes | 50c | 199.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 51c | 196.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 45c | 194.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 55c | 191.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 17c | 157.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 51c | 134$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 42c | 133.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.53 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 54c | 96.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 26c | 90.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed No | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 19c | 77.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 40c | 62.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122f…c5c9backed Yes | 36c | 61.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 44c | 58.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 50.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…8a4bbacked Yes | 79c | 49.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 50c | 45.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 35.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 63c | 30.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 63c | 25.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…591cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 54c | 18.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-01-28?No won
- Will Mirassol FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.