Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana State Sycamores vs. UIC Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6fa32a324feb885d20c3d0bab045d78179509c3c753a8f6567c9cdb44b57188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UIC Flamesof Indiana State Sycamores, UIC Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UIC Flames | 60c | 4,918$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Indiana State Sycamores | 53c | 4,161$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.05 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed UIC Flames | 71c | 3,643$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.37 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked UIC Flames | 55c | 2,384$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.69 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Indiana State Sycamores | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 23c | 1,076$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.34 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 2c | 999.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Indiana State Sycamores | 19c | 897.25$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 17c | 799.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Indiana State Sycamores | 29c | 789$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana State Sycamores | 15c | 731.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 62c | 696.15$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.88 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UIC Flames | 72c | 584.49$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.47 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Indiana State Sycamores | 11c | 475.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Indiana State Sycamores | 7c | 400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Indiana State Sycamores | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked UIC Flames | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Indiana State Sycamores | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Indiana State Sycamores | 29c | 240$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Indiana State Sycamores | 19c | 222.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UIC Flames | 79c | 210.91$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Indiana State Sycamores | 43c | 162$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Indiana State Sycamores | 34c | 153.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Indiana State Sycamores | 53c | 147.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed Indiana State Sycamores | 13c | 124.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Indiana State Sycamores | 28c | 100.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Indiana State Sycamores | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed UIC Flames | 73c | 86.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UIC Flames | 72c | 83.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 19c | 64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Indiana State Sycamores | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Indiana State Sycamores | 29c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked UIC Flames | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed UIC Flames | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UIC Flames | 73c | 13.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.