Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Viborg FF vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6fd107acb37d7decc91b4b4fc7c4b1c9766350e6db2516ab2f5ff1eac8f2dee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,124 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 13c | 10,060$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,727.16 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 68c | 7,141$4,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.57 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 77c | 1,929$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 11c | 1,243$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 77c | 642.71$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 71c | 515.57$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 493$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 32c | 165.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 71c | 131.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 66c | 114.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed No | 76c | 52.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 50.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 47.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 30c | 37.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 58c | 22.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 79c | 17.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Viborg FF vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Viborg FF win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.