Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f7a5845d63092828bfde3f8e8d81046cd6e44899d8b2d0a70e2956d608e3609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,510 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 62c | 2,870$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.38 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,935$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 55c | 1,742$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.97 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 10c | 1,261$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.61 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 31c | 741.93$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.54 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 677.41$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 36c | 614.36$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.45 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 588$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 72c | 421$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.79 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 45c | 343$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 55c | 300$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.87 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 28c | 171.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 61c | 165.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 50c | 153.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 35c | 148.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 35c | 124$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 120.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked No | 65c | 117$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…8bd6backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 22c | 109.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 35c | 87.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 41c | 85.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Yes | 20c | 68.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 67c | 53.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…33febacked Yes | 37c | 53.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 31c | 52.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 65c | 51.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 42c | 45.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 65c | 39.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 30c | 33.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 31.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…3df5backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 45c | 28.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Yes | 37c | 27.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 59c | 17.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Viborg FF vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Viborg FF win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.